Two Mismatched Markets: Inventory
Historically, inventory needs to be at a 6-month supply for a “normal” market where home prices appreciate with inflation. Anything less than a 6-month supply is considered a sellers’ market, in which the demand for houses to buy outpaces supply of homes for sale.
The United States has been in a sellers’ market since August 2012, but last month’s numbers reached a new low.
Trulia reported not only is there a shortage of homes for sale, but the homes that are available are not meeting the needs of what buyers are looking for.
Homes are generally categorized into 3 groups by price range: starter, trade-up, and premium.
Trulia’s market mismatch score measures the search interest of buyers against the category of homes that are available on the market. For example: “if 60% of buyers are searching for starter homes but only 40% of listings are starter homes, [the] market mismatch score for starter homes would be 20.”
The results of their latest analysis are detailed in the chart below.
Nationally, buyers are searching for starter and trade-up homes and are coming up short with available listings. This leads to a highly competitive seller’s market in these categories. 92% of the top 100 metros have a shortage in trade-up inventory.
Premium homebuyers have the best chance of less competition and a surplus of listings in their price range with an 11-point surplus, leading to more of a buyer’s market.
“It leaves Americans who are in the market for a home increasingly chasing too fewer options in lower price ranges, and sellers of premium homes more likely to be left waiting longer for a buyer.”
Real Estate Bottom Line
Real estate is local. If you are thinking about buying OR selling this spring, let’s get together to discuss the exact market conditions in our area.